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Meta-Analysis of State Polls
Electoral College Meta-Analysis

From Prof. Sam Wang of Princeton University.

Below is a meta-analysis directed at the question of who would win the Electoral College if the election were held today. Meta-analysis provides more objectivity and precision than looking at one or a few polls, and in the case of election prediction gives a more accurate current snapshot. My academic specialties are biophysics and neuroscience. In these fields I make heavy use of probability and statistics in analyzing complex experimental data, and have published many papers using these approaches. Polling provides an interesting everyday example. Many of you agree – this site gets over 10,000 hits per day.

via j. markoff



  1. "-" says:
    The only thing that really worries me is a close race. There are so 
    many people that encountered the reality of the American elections process in the last presidential election. We're not ready 
    for closeness. 
    
    What would it take to convince people - some of the people, all of 
    the time - that all politics is local, because that's where you are 
    when you vote, and that nothing is perfect? Sometimes you have 
    to swallow a bad result. 
    
    Again, as long as it's not a close race, I'm not worred.

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