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	<title>Comments on: Pre-emptive nuclear strike a key option, Nato told. Target Afghanistan, NOT Iran.</title>
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	<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/</link>
	<description>General interest observations and true web-log.</description>
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		<title>By: Rick Cain</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-990402</link>
		<dc:creator>Rick Cain</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 07 Feb 2008 07:42:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-990402</guid>
		<description>The problem with any nuclear attack is that the radioactive fallout does not respect borders, so you will end up pissing off nearby allies in the process when their country is blanketed with your radioactive love.

BTW that nuke photo is the Castle Romeo shot, 3.8 Megatons if I remember right.  The good old days when the USA was doing atmospheric tests in the marshall islands.  The Marshall islanders weren&#039;t too happy about the forced evictions though.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The problem with any nuclear attack is that the radioactive fallout does not respect borders, so you will end up pissing off nearby allies in the process when their country is blanketed with your radioactive love.</p>
<p>BTW that nuke photo is the Castle Romeo shot, 3.8 Megatons if I remember right.  The good old days when the USA was doing atmospheric tests in the marshall islands.  The Marshall islanders weren&#8217;t too happy about the forced evictions though.</p>
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		<title>By: jcj7161</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-975221</link>
		<dc:creator>jcj7161</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 23:55:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-975221</guid>
		<description>Dvorak FUD as usual</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dvorak FUD as usual</p>
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		<title>By: Thomas</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974706</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 16:00:47 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974706</guid>
		<description>#33
The financial markets fluctuated after the Iraq invasion because Iraq has oil. Thus, there was fear that the supply to the world markets would drop, Afghanistan does not have oil or any appreciable energy supply and thus there is no fear of a drop in energy supplies should they meet their demise. At best, Afghanistan is important to energy supplies because of location. There are plans for a Caspian Sea pipeline which would run through Afghanistan.

RE: NATO
The US has considered pulling all of its bases out of NATO on occasion. It would reduce our cost considerably. I believe that one reason it has not happened is due to resistance from the hosting countries. The bases generate quite a bit of local revenue.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#33<br />
The financial markets fluctuated after the Iraq invasion because Iraq has oil. Thus, there was fear that the supply to the world markets would drop, Afghanistan does not have oil or any appreciable energy supply and thus there is no fear of a drop in energy supplies should they meet their demise. At best, Afghanistan is important to energy supplies because of location. There are plans for a Caspian Sea pipeline which would run through Afghanistan.</p>
<p>RE: NATO<br />
The US has considered pulling all of its bases out of NATO on occasion. It would reduce our cost considerably. I believe that one reason it has not happened is due to resistance from the hosting countries. The bases generate quite a bit of local revenue.</p>
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		<title>By: ECA</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974431</link>
		<dc:creator>ECA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 10:23:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974431</guid>
		<description>Selvey...
WE DONT GET THAT MUCH OIL FROM OPEC.
we get 80%+ from Mexico, S. america, Cali, Offshore oil...
OPEC didnt raise the price...
THATS MARKET price...After its been sold a few times, BACK and forth, to the SAME companies..
ITS ALSO, to force the Price up for the OIL, we are pumping in IRAQ, THAT ISNT GETTING BACK HERE.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Selvey&#8230;<br />
WE DONT GET THAT MUCH OIL FROM OPEC.<br />
we get 80%+ from Mexico, S. america, Cali, Offshore oil&#8230;<br />
OPEC didnt raise the price&#8230;<br />
THATS MARKET price&#8230;After its been sold a few times, BACK and forth, to the SAME companies..<br />
ITS ALSO, to force the Price up for the OIL, we are pumping in IRAQ, THAT ISNT GETTING BACK HERE.</p>
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		<title>By: bruce</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974334</link>
		<dc:creator>bruce</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 07:30:51 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974334</guid>
		<description>#18, &lt;i&gt;Just send a copy of “The Day After” to these planners. Word was when Regan saw it, he was so disturbed by it, that he started increased nuclear talks with the Soviet Union. I know when I first saw it, it scared the hell out of me.&lt;/i&gt;

It&#039;s NATO we&#039;re dealing with, they&#039;re like the UN but without the whimsy. I&#039;d just have them watch &lt;i&gt;Dr. Strangelove&lt;/i&gt;, at least it might make them laugh.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#18, <i>Just send a copy of “The Day After” to these planners. Word was when Regan saw it, he was so disturbed by it, that he started increased nuclear talks with the Soviet Union. I know when I first saw it, it scared the hell out of me.</i></p>
<p>It&#8217;s NATO we&#8217;re dealing with, they&#8217;re like the UN but without the whimsy. I&#8217;d just have them watch <i>Dr. Strangelove</i>, at least it might make them laugh.</p>
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		<title>By: Selvy</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974274</link>
		<dc:creator>Selvy</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 05:52:10 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974274</guid>
		<description>For the simple reason that, in this world of immediate news, the markets are more volatile and responsive to ANYTHING that could be seen as destabilizing. Look how oil prices jump whenever anyone from Opec coughs.

However, while we&#039;re at it....WHERE does it say anything about nuking Afghanistan??? The paper relaesed is talking about two different subjects relating to NATO: A) The half-assed ~my words~ management of NATO forces in Afghanistan with regard to the Taliban due to the way decision-making is handled within NATO (which allows those not contributing any forces to micro-manage/manipulate those operations); B) The reiteration that if it seems likely one of these outside threats looks to be gearing up to attack the West that NATO won&#039;t hesitate to defend using a nuclear weapon.

There are major issues with NATO and how it&#039;s run, especially since Germany and France decided a while back to create a second force outside of NATO with which to handle things---with the eventual aim of moving NATO out. Also, the aforementioned special rules that several countries like to place upon their own troops, etc...All in all it needs an overhaul.

As for the nuke, people are correct. Some radicals would *hope* to incur a nuclear war and point to it as the coming Apocolypse, or a sign of the Mahdi coming back, etc...or just incite more strife. True, but in some cases we just have to do what we must and weigh each option carefully. 

If anything, the report shoudl serve notice to people on both sides of the Atlantic not to take anything for granted. The peacetime dividends people took after the fall of the Soviet Union are long gone.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>For the simple reason that, in this world of immediate news, the markets are more volatile and responsive to ANYTHING that could be seen as destabilizing. Look how oil prices jump whenever anyone from Opec coughs.</p>
<p>However, while we&#8217;re at it&#8230;.WHERE does it say anything about nuking Afghanistan??? The paper relaesed is talking about two different subjects relating to NATO: A) The half-assed ~my words~ management of NATO forces in Afghanistan with regard to the Taliban due to the way decision-making is handled within NATO (which allows those not contributing any forces to micro-manage/manipulate those operations); B) The reiteration that if it seems likely one of these outside threats looks to be gearing up to attack the West that NATO won&#8217;t hesitate to defend using a nuclear weapon.</p>
<p>There are major issues with NATO and how it&#8217;s run, especially since Germany and France decided a while back to create a second force outside of NATO with which to handle things&#8212;with the eventual aim of moving NATO out. Also, the aforementioned special rules that several countries like to place upon their own troops, etc&#8230;All in all it needs an overhaul.</p>
<p>As for the nuke, people are correct. Some radicals would *hope* to incur a nuclear war and point to it as the coming Apocolypse, or a sign of the Mahdi coming back, etc&#8230;or just incite more strife. True, but in some cases we just have to do what we must and weigh each option carefully. </p>
<p>If anything, the report shoudl serve notice to people on both sides of the Atlantic not to take anything for granted. The peacetime dividends people took after the fall of the Soviet Union are long gone.</p>
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		<title>By: Thomas</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974259</link>
		<dc:creator>Thomas</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 05:15:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974259</guid>
		<description>I&#039;m with #6. How would dropping a nuke on Afghanistan cause a collapse of the financial markets?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I&#8217;m with #6. How would dropping a nuke on Afghanistan cause a collapse of the financial markets?</p>
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		<title>By: B. Dog</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-974141</link>
		<dc:creator>B. Dog</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 03:28:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-974141</guid>
		<description>Yup, they&#039;re nuts.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yup, they&#8217;re nuts.</p>
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		<title>By: Phillep</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973894</link>
		<dc:creator>Phillep</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 00:23:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973894</guid>
		<description>#26, Chuck, the people in the &quot;Arabic&quot; countries in the Middle East and the Holy Land have a culture based on bargaining in the market square. There is no &quot;truth in advertising&quot;  They lie, brag, slander, bluster, etc as part of the bargaining process, and this permeates the entire culture. 

It carries over into politics, and international politics, everywhere. 

Consider how they refused to believe the Taliban actually was going to try to enforce strict Sharia law, until the Taliban moved in and started beating up people for smoking cigarettes, wearing the wrong kind of pants, trimming their beards, etc. The locals are so used to everyone lying that they just cannot believe the plain truth unless they see it with their own eyes. They are not going to believe that they are going to get blown up until the blast wave knocks them on their butts. 

Actually, those &quot;Arabs&quot; remind me of the lefties. They believe what they feel like believing, until reality smacks them, and then they start screaming about insensitivity, Bushitler, etc.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>#26, Chuck, the people in the &#8220;Arabic&#8221; countries in the Middle East and the Holy Land have a culture based on bargaining in the market square. There is no &#8220;truth in advertising&#8221;  They lie, brag, slander, bluster, etc as part of the bargaining process, and this permeates the entire culture. </p>
<p>It carries over into politics, and international politics, everywhere. </p>
<p>Consider how they refused to believe the Taliban actually was going to try to enforce strict Sharia law, until the Taliban moved in and started beating up people for smoking cigarettes, wearing the wrong kind of pants, trimming their beards, etc. The locals are so used to everyone lying that they just cannot believe the plain truth unless they see it with their own eyes. They are not going to believe that they are going to get blown up until the blast wave knocks them on their butts. </p>
<p>Actually, those &#8220;Arabs&#8221; remind me of the lefties. They believe what they feel like believing, until reality smacks them, and then they start screaming about insensitivity, Bushitler, etc.</p>
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		<title>By: ericgraham</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973886</link>
		<dc:creator>ericgraham</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 25 Jan 2008 00:18:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973886</guid>
		<description>I could be mistaken, but I don&#039;t think NATO has ever advocated a &quot;don&#039;t strike first&quot; nuclear policy. They&#039;re just crossing &quot;USSR&quot; off the cover of their playbook and replacing it with &quot;THE MIDDLE EAST.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I could be mistaken, but I don&#8217;t think NATO has ever advocated a &#8220;don&#8217;t strike first&#8221; nuclear policy. They&#8217;re just crossing &#8220;USSR&#8221; off the cover of their playbook and replacing it with &#8220;THE MIDDLE EAST.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: jlm</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973745</link>
		<dc:creator>jlm</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 23:01:00 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973745</guid>
		<description>awesome logic, lets prevent someone else from starting a nuclear war by starting it before them.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>awesome logic, lets prevent someone else from starting a nuclear war by starting it before them.</p>
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		<title>By: gquaglia</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973707</link>
		<dc:creator>gquaglia</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 22:37:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973707</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;This means the Saudis, Afganistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, etc need to realize that if they cannot prevent the extremists within their population from attacking the West, they will face total destruction.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

Agreed, but what politician would have the balls to propose such a doctrine.  None that I can see.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>This means the Saudis, Afganistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, etc need to realize that if they cannot prevent the extremists within their population from attacking the West, they will face total destruction.</p></blockquote>
<p>Agreed, but what politician would have the balls to propose such a doctrine.  None that I can see.</p>
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		<title>By: chuck</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973688</link>
		<dc:creator>chuck</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 22:20:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973688</guid>
		<description>During the cold war, NATO had a well-known policy that it would NOT rule out the use of nuclear weapons in &lt;b&gt;response&lt;/b&gt; to a purely conventional war - the idea was that since the Soviets had significantly more conventional weapons (i.e. tanks) than western Europe was capable of defending against, then using nuclear weapons must remain an option.

The West also had a policy known as mutually assured destruction (MAD) - which was that the response to an attack on the west with nuclear weapons would result in a massive, overwhelming counter-attack, inevitably leading to the total destruction of all sides.

The purpose of both policies was to deter the idea of any attack.

It seemed to work - in the sense that the proxy wars between the West and the Soviets remained limited to low-level conflicts using conventional weapons.

Against the &quot;new&quot; threat of religious extremists potentially armed with nuclear weapons, we need a similar policy. But the idea of destroying the world in a nuclear war seems to be attractive to the religious extremists. So, instead, the policy needs to be aimed at the &quot;governments&quot; which are supposed to limit the violent aims of their citizens.

This means the Saudis, Afganistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, etc need to realize that if they cannot prevent the extremists within their population from attacking the West, they will face total destruction.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>During the cold war, NATO had a well-known policy that it would NOT rule out the use of nuclear weapons in <b>response</b> to a purely conventional war &#8211; the idea was that since the Soviets had significantly more conventional weapons (i.e. tanks) than western Europe was capable of defending against, then using nuclear weapons must remain an option.</p>
<p>The West also had a policy known as mutually assured destruction (MAD) &#8211; which was that the response to an attack on the west with nuclear weapons would result in a massive, overwhelming counter-attack, inevitably leading to the total destruction of all sides.</p>
<p>The purpose of both policies was to deter the idea of any attack.</p>
<p>It seemed to work &#8211; in the sense that the proxy wars between the West and the Soviets remained limited to low-level conflicts using conventional weapons.</p>
<p>Against the &#8220;new&#8221; threat of religious extremists potentially armed with nuclear weapons, we need a similar policy. But the idea of destroying the world in a nuclear war seems to be attractive to the religious extremists. So, instead, the policy needs to be aimed at the &#8220;governments&#8221; which are supposed to limit the violent aims of their citizens.</p>
<p>This means the Saudis, Afganistan, Pakistan, Iran, Iraq, North Korea, etc need to realize that if they cannot prevent the extremists within their population from attacking the West, they will face total destruction.</p>
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		<title>By: ECA</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973536</link>
		<dc:creator>ECA</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 20:40:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973536</guid>
		<description>1. we went to Afghanistan to fight a war..We lost the person we were looking for.
2. We invaded Iraq, and took 80% of the forces THERE, from afghanistan.
3.  under armed, under man&#039;d, WHAT the HELL are we still doing THERE.
4. A NUKE??  To BLOW up 1 county Sized area??
5. Bigger question...WHERES THE OIL FROM IRAQ??  They are selling it to OTHER NATIONS, and its NOT coming back to the USA, and neither IS&#039; the money..</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>1. we went to Afghanistan to fight a war..We lost the person we were looking for.<br />
2. We invaded Iraq, and took 80% of the forces THERE, from afghanistan.<br />
3.  under armed, under man&#8217;d, WHAT the HELL are we still doing THERE.<br />
4. A NUKE??  To BLOW up 1 county Sized area??<br />
5. Bigger question&#8230;WHERES THE OIL FROM IRAQ??  They are selling it to OTHER NATIONS, and its NOT coming back to the USA, and neither IS&#8217; the money..</p>
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		<title>By: gquaglia</title>
		<link>http://www.dvorak.org/blog/2008/01/24/pre-emptive-nuclear-strike-a-key-option-nato-told/comment-page-2/#comment-973497</link>
		<dc:creator>gquaglia</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Jan 2008 20:03:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.dvorak.org/blog/?p=15745#comment-973497</guid>
		<description>&lt;blockquote&gt;18, only Democrats can get credit for reducing the chances of a nuclear war–Reagan only made the world more dangerous.&lt;/blockquote&gt;

I hope your kidding.  Here is a quote from Wikipedia on the matter

&lt;blockquote&gt;Reagan wrote in his diary that the film &quot;left me greatly depressed.&quot; and that it changed his mind on the prevailing policy on a &quot;nuclear war&quot; [1] In 1987 during the era of Mikhail Gorbachev&#039;s glasnost and perestroika reforms, the film was shown on Soviet television. Upon signing the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty at Reykjavik with Gorbachev, Meyer received a telegram from the Reagan Administration that said, &#039;Don&#039;t think your movie didn&#039;t have any part of this, because it did.&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<blockquote><p>18, only Democrats can get credit for reducing the chances of a nuclear war–Reagan only made the world more dangerous.</p></blockquote>
<p>I hope your kidding.  Here is a quote from Wikipedia on the matter</p>
<blockquote><p>Reagan wrote in his diary that the film &#8220;left me greatly depressed.&#8221; and that it changed his mind on the prevailing policy on a &#8220;nuclear war&#8221; [1] In 1987 during the era of Mikhail Gorbachev&#8217;s glasnost and perestroika reforms, the film was shown on Soviet television. Upon signing the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty at Reykjavik with Gorbachev, Meyer received a telegram from the Reagan Administration that said, &#8216;Don&#8217;t think your movie didn&#8217;t have any part of this, because it did.</p></blockquote>
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