Peter Nicholson

A new survey finds consensus among scientists about the reality of climate change and its likely cause. A group of 3,146 earth scientists surveyed around the world overwhelmingly agree that in the past 200-plus years, mean global temperatures have been rising, and that human activity is a significant contributing factor in changing mean global temperatures.

In trying to overcome criticism of earlier attempts to gauge the view of earth scientists on global warming and the human impact factor, Peter Doran and Kendall Zimmerman sought the opinion of the most complete list of earth scientists they could find, contacting more than 10,200 experts around the world listed in the 2007 edition of the American Geological Institute’s Directory of Geoscience Departments.

Questions used were reviewed by a polling expert who checked for bias in phrasing, such as suggesting an answer by the way a question was worded. The nine-question survey was short, taking just a few minutes to complete.

Two questions were key: have mean global temperatures risen compared to pre-1800s levels, and has human activity been a significant factor in changing mean global temperatures.

About 90 percent of the scientists agreed with the first question and 82 percent the second.

In analyzing responses by sub-groups, Doran found that climatologists who are active in research showed the strongest consensus on the causes of global warming, with 97 percent agreeing humans play a role.

Doran and Kendall Zimmerman conclude that “the debate on the authenticity of global warming and the role played by human activity is largely nonexistent among those who understand the nuances and scientific basis of long-term climate processes.”

Not that skeptics will care. Anti-intellectualism, anti-science convictions reflect hangups ranging from creationism to the good old favorite – “Al Gore said it and I hate his suits”.




  1. jimbo says:

    I also notice you don’t post on anything you haven’t seen on tv…

    Great intelligence begins with the smallest atom paddy-0…shame it skipped you out

  2. Paddy-O says:

    # 80 jimbo said, “I don’t need to prove intelligence”

    Yes, I know what the nice doctors told you. So, anything to add to the global warming debate, or are you just obsessing over me?

  3. Mr. Fusion says:

    #75, Cow-Paddy,

    I am happy that you know more about this subject than an atmospheric physicist. ROFL. Go away troll.

    No where in Uncle Patso’s post did he claim to know more than a scientist studying climate change. Yet, you now claim he is a troll.

    There are none so blind as those who refuse to see.

  4. jimbo says:

    yes….”nice doctors”…haven’t heard the “you’re mad” comeback before….well not since high school…

    I find global warming to be out of all of our hands, inane and therefore pointless to discuss with someone who acts the scientist but isn’t one.

    I will continue to annoy whilst you continue to spout nonsense…

    You never did come up with proof for your claim of urban combat operations experience, but I guess you’ll avoid it again this time too.

  5. Mr. Fusion says:

    #78, Cow-Paddy,

    Anyway. Please ignore ANY scientist who receives gov or University grants as they are shill for the politically correct forces.

    Do you have any proof that the “gov” or “University” (which one I don’t know) are biased. Please link to this silly claim.

    you should read up on what Patrick Moore, founder of Greenpeace has to say

    I’ve met Patrick Moore. I didn’t like him then, I don’t know why I should start now. If, however, you are using him as an expert, then why don’t you quote him instead of dropping his name like some asshole. Oopps, OK, now I get why you dropped his name.

  6. jimbo says:

    hmmm, I think wikipedia must have frozen on Paddy-o…Oh well, no proof for us i guess.

    Losing credibility Paddy

    “Give me a link when you have the data… I’ll wait…”

  7. jimbo says:

    hmmm, I think wikipedia must have frozen on Paddy-o…Oh well, no proof for us i guess.

    Losing credibility Paddy

    #78 “Give me a link when you have the data… I’ll wait…”

  8. Paddy-O says:

    # 84 jimbo said, “I find global warming to be out of all of our hands, inane and therefore pointless to discuss”

    Then quit trolling the thread.

  9. nurbles says:

    Of course Global Warming is man-made. Men invented the idea. Men created the temperature measuring devices. Men repainted their containers with different paint that retains much more heat. Men ignored the fact that many temperature stations are now within (or much ,much nearer to) urban areas, asphalt, etc. Men make huge (and often incorrect) inferences from a single photo of a polar bear on an ice floe. Men are flawed.

    So why is it so hard to believe that Men created global warming? Heck, if you look hard enough, you could probably find a consensus that men created the tides, too.

  10. jimbo says:

    i’m trolling the thread because you are a liar and can’t admit it.

    God damn fool

  11. Paddy-O says:

    # 89 jimbo said, “i’m trolling the thread”

    Yes, I established that fact already…

  12. Bob says:

    Hrmm, survey of 3,146 that say it’s kinda so vs petition of tens of thousands that says it aint. Mark twain said it best, there are three kinds of lies in this world, Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics.

  13. manbearpig says:

    I wonder if any of those 3146 scientists had anything to do with deciding where to locate the temperature measuring equipment?

    http://tinyurl.com/azuzcx

  14. Paddy-O says:

    # 42 amodedoma said, “Paddy O, yeah I know, but our ancestors didn’t live in our society, did they?”

    No, their highest technology consisted of stone knives and bear skins. We currently posses much more technology to adapt our environment to what we need.

  15. orangetiki says:

    take that nay sayers

  16. Billy Bob says:

    Wow, now scientific fact is being established by polling. It’s a lot cheaper than research.

  17. Paddy-O says:

    # 95 Billy Bob said, “Wow, now scientific fact is being established by polling.”

    I polled 10,000 physicists on whether they think gravity exists. 3000 responded that they didn’t think it exists.

    I’m now going to the gov’t to ask them to fund research into a tethering system so we all don’t get flung off the Earth by centrifugal force.

  18. Mr. Fusion says:

    #92, Bob,

    Hrmm, survey of 3,146 that say it’s kinda so vs petition of tens of thousands that says it aint.

    That survey says 90% of the respondents believe man has a bearing on the amount of climate change we are experiencing. So what does that petition of housewives, oil workers, and retired pastors say?

    Mark twain said it best, there are three kinds of lies in this world, Lies, Damn Lies, and Statistics.

    Only you got it more wrong than Clemens. Statistics don’t lie. People that incorrectly use statistics to prove a failed point are bad liars. Sort of like what you did. You can’t refute the poll so you try to suggest there are tens of thousands who signed a petition that know better.

  19. Uncle Patso says:

    # 75 Paddy-O said:
    ———-
    # 72 Uncle Patso said, “You know, there was a time when I used to read the comments on this blog in hopes of learning something.”

    I am happy that you know more about this subject than an atmospheric physicist. ROFL. Go away troll.
    ———-

    Where in my post did I ever claim to know anything?

    (Oh, and thank you, Mr. Fusion.)

  20. Pat M says:

    #99, Uncle Pat

    Where in my post did I ever claim to know anything?

    In my experience, those that claim to be something usually aren’t. Trust me, you have dropped more than one memorable gem, well worth remembering, for our enjoyment and edification.

    Thank you sir.



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