Playfuls.com – January 2nd 2007:

Although Nintendo Wii was considered the revelation of this shopping season, the battle of gaming consoles is far from over and some analysts still believe that in the end Sony will win the war. According to a research called “The Transforming Global Video Games Market: The Emergence of Next Generation Gaming”, published by the research company Research and Markets, Sony PS3 “is expected to win the console war in the long term with an install base of around 75 million globally by 2010.”

In August 2006 another research company forecasted that Sony’s PlayStation 3 will win the gaming console battle. Boston-based research firm Yankee Group reported that the game-console war will have found a winner by 2011 and that is PlayStation 3. Xbox 360 will come second and Nintendo Wii third.

The respected market research firm predicted that by 2011, which means 5 years from now, PlayStation 3 will have more than 30 million units sold, Xbox 360 will closely follow with 27 million units and Nintendo will trail the other two giants with its Wii console, with only 11 million units.

Translated in market share, that means 44% for PlayStation, which regains its dominant position, 40% for Xbox 360 and 16% for Nintendo’s Wii.



  1. Higghawker says:

    The respected market research firm predicted that by 2011, which means 5 years from now, PlayStation 3 will have more than 30 million units sold, Xbox 360 will closely follow with 27 million units and Nintendo will trail the other two giants with its Wii console, with only 11 million units.

    Don’t these numbers seem wrong in numbers of units sold? I mean by 2011 only 68 million units sold? I’m going to say the Wii will hold it’s own and surprise the experts?

  2. DJ Ruden says:

    Seriously? The Wii has already sold near 4 million units in the little time it’s been out. I understand that it won’t be selling this fast the next 5 years, but its install base already has 3rd party developers taking note, and developers make games for systems that are in a lot of homes. Right now, this is NOT the PS3. And a system with no games does not stay afloat.

    PS3 ain’t dead like the Dreamcast, but it definately is losing ground fast in the console war.

  3. Hal DeVaney says:

    Sony “no boloney”? I Just bought an Xbox360.

  4. sdf says:

    Do they count units of Wii60s and 360-DS?

  5. Tom 2 says:

    Yeah Wii was the winner before it even reached the starting line, the cheapness and all around fun made it a sure thing, and the PS 3 in my opinion really was trying to be a computer even though it wasn’t, and the people who like that sort of thing already had a computer!!!

  6. Jägermeister says:

    #6

    Knowing Sony, they’ll just do something else and shoot themselves in the foot one more time. 😉

  7. J says:

    When is the last time a piece of popular electronics has had a 5 year life span? I would think by 2011 there would be a few changes in technology all of todays systems would be obsolete. Good timing SONY.

  8. Jägermeister says:

    #8

    Hey… no problem

  9. Nobody says:

    I wonder how many of those 75 million PS3’s will be owned by desperate people who can’t get the damn thing to sell on eBay.

  10. Angel H. Wong says:

    It all comes down to when will the novelty fade.

    Let’s not forget the fierce competition between the SNES and the Genesis consoles. In the first years the Genesis kicked the SNES ass and even beating by number of units sold.

    In the last years of the 16 battle though, the SNES games showed a degree of maturity (specially the japanese games) while the latter Genesis games sucked big time.

    IMNHO I would agree with these predictions BUT with caution, unless the PS3 maintains a good fanbase with games that are a must have on the PS3, it will become another Dreamcast.

  11. Todd says:

    #9

    I’m pretty sure the ps2 came out in late 2000, so that makes it 6 years old and games are still being made for it, and big ones too. A new final fantasy came out a couple months ago, god of war II is going to be on ps2..

    But look how dated the graphics look on a ps2 compared to any of the next gen consoles. I actually got my ps2 for christmas just 2 (err 3) years ago.

  12. J says:

    #13 Todd

    The ps2 was outdated about a years ago when the xbox 360 came out. That’s just about 5 years. The only reason the ps2 went that long is because Microsoft can’t get their shit togeter any faster than that.

  13. N says:

    If Sony can’t move ps3’s now, what makes anyone think that they will move them in the future. All of their “exclusives” are coming to 360 now, save Devil May Cry and MGS, and I have even heard rumors of those two making it to 360. I went all over town the other day trying to find a wii. None to be found. Too bad I didn’t want a ps3 cause I could have gotten one no problem because they are just sitting in stores. And this is happening everywhere from what I have read. Plus Live is the trump card in all of this. Unless sony can somehow compete in the online department, I don’t think they stand a chance. And am I the only one who thinks that people are going to get real tired of playing wii real quick. Nintendo thinks they are going to tap some unexplored demographic, but non-gamers are non-gamers for a reason, they do other things. give wii 6 months and I bet people will be much less excited about running around their living room with nunchucks

  14. Dino Splimoney says:

    Man ps2 can never be outdated

  15. dvorak says:

    Ps2 to will last a life time it just depends in the quality of the game that is inserted my opinion on the xbox being better than ps2 is not likely


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