Not that speculation in oil futures has anything to do with the prices, of course.
First there’s this:
Most Americans have no idea how important oil prices are to the overall health of the U.S. economy. Whenever oil prices have pressed toward record levels in recent decades, it has always resulted in an economic downturn. A high oil price does not just mean that consumers will have to pay a little more at the pump. The truth is that oil is the very lifeblood of our economic system. We have built our entire country around the concept that we can transport lots of stuff very long distances for a very, very cheap price. When that paradigm beings to change, it fundamentally alters the dynamics of the U.S. economy. A high oil price will mean an even faster economic decline for America.
Here’s one take on things:
The International Energy Agency (IEA), which represents industrial consumers, said prices “already pose a real economic risk” and said Saudi Arabia has stealthily boosted its output. However, OPEC said “any assumption that there is tightness in the market… is incorrect”. The cartel of oil-producing countries blamed the weak dollar and speculation for taking the price per barrel near $100.
[…]
He criticised the IEA for lacking “consistency”, suggesting it was willing to add to oil prices by telling members to raise related taxes, but would then pressure OPEC to curb prices to safeguard growth. However, analysts say that the cartel is reluctant to openly agree output rises in case prices drop sharply.
And then there’s this:
Oil prices dropped ahead of important data on U.S. oil supplies, due 11 a.m. EST Thursday. U.S. oil inventories are expected to fall by 900,000 barrels in the weekly report from the Department of Energy. But the expected decline is partly due to the shutdown of the Trans Alaska Pipeline, which restarted Monday. Fuel inventories are seen continuing their recent steep increase, with gasoline stockpiles expected to grow 2.3 million barrels and distillates, including heating oil and diesel, seen adding 500,000 barrels.
[…]
Supply issues have been paramount in recent days after the shutdown of the Alaska pipeline last week pushed crude futures back above $90 a barrel. With the key 800-mile oil route back in service, investors are closely watching the recent rise in stockpiles of fuel products, both in the U.S. and Europe, as continued builds could stifle any push toward triple-digit oil.